Dark clouds on the horizon – Werthstein index continues to fall

The deflation ghost seems to have been exorcised, inflation rates are picking up again worldwide. This may accelerate the end of cheap money, which has stimulated stock markets for so long. At the same time, US President Donald Trump has introduced an unfamiliar and sometimes confusing way of governing. Investors face new uncertainties: will there be protectionism instead of globalization, trade war rather than free trade? And, all this comes at a time of high stock market valuations. The Werthstein Institute sees dark clouds on the horizon. The experts on the panel have become even more cautious, the index continues to decline in February.


The Werthstein Index is a lively representation of the Werthstein Institute’s market opinion. It expresses the individual voting members’ expectations for the development of global stock markets over a time horizon of up to three months, as the average of their votes on a scale from 1 (extremely negative) to 10 (extremely positive).

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